Happy Diwali: Muhurat Picks and Quarterly result updates

Happy Diwali

Wish you a very Happy and Prosperous Diwali friends.

Tomorrow is the Muhurat Trading session from 3:45PM to 5PM and we would recommend all our readers to take part on this auspicious day.

Our muhurat picks are (in no particular order):

  1. Atul Auto
  2. Balkrishna Industries
  3. GRP
  4. Mazda
  5. Polymedicure

We are also studying Maithan Alloys and Aarti Drugs, and one may make an entry into them.

Further, the quarterly numbers have been good so far. A brief update about the latest numbers:

1. GRP Ltd: The company has posted a mixed set of results. The turnover has increased 20% while the net profits are down 30% compared to last year. On the face, the things may not look good but I think are results are not bad as the company had undertaken an expansion which started production from current quarter only, and hence the fixed costs would have been higher. Also, during FY12, the previous year, the company had the above average margins.

Our view on GRP is from a much longer perspective. We feel that it is a high quality company which has had a fantastic past track record and can recurringly grow at 20-25% for next few years.

2. Astral Poly: The stock has done very well and is up 3 times in about 2 years. The company has posted another set of fantastic results; the topline has grown at 48% from 136 to 200 Cr, while the bottom line has grown just 15% due to the forex losses. We think though the stock looks expensive but it might continue to trade at high PE multiples due to growth visibility of 25-30%+ for next few years. The company is undertaking a major branding building and the same might be soon seen in Dabaang 2.

3. Welspun Syntex: The company has come out with an excellent set of numbers and the stock looks undervalued at current levels. Due to the sector’s highly cyclical nature it is very tough to predict the earnings and we would avoid for long-term investing, but we feel there is an opportunity for a medium term as the sector is coming out from a very bad phase, and the companies with a stable balance sheet and decent growth can do well. Another idea on similar lines is Salona Cotspin.

4. Kakatiya Cement: The company has come out with a weak set of results and the profitability has been affected due to the problems in their power segment. Though the stock is still statistically cheap but we feel that over a longer term the stock may be a value trap as there is hardly any communication or efforts from the company on the growth part. We suggest an exit.

5. Balkrishna Ind: The company has yet again posted an excellent set of numbers and continues to beat the expectations. The topline has increased by 30% and the net profit is up by 95% (if we remove forex gains, the net profit is up by about 65%). The stock looks undervalued at these levels.

6. Mazda Ltd: The company has posted a very good set of results; the topline is up by 32% and the net profit is up by 92%. Being a project company, though the growth might be on higher side, but the valuations are very cheap and if the company is able to maintain 20-25% growth, the stock should do well too. Currently the stock trades at just 4 PE and is below book value. The company is also debt free and with cash on the balance sheet. We feel it is a buy at current levels.

7. Oriental Carbon: The company has come out with ok results. There were indications of a slowdown in the sector and hence the company has not been able to utilize the new capacities. The good thing is that as per the notes to accounts, the company expects the approvals to come in and the things to improve. We too feel that the things could improve in about couple of quarters and the company may start doing very well. The stock continues to look undervalued.

8. Atul Auto: The company has posted another excellent set of results. In-spite of the slowdown in the auto sector, the top-line and the margins have grown well and in the month of October, the company has delivered a growth of about 30% and if the same is repeated, the stock should do well.

9. Others: Muthoot Capital, Avanti Feeds and IFB Agro, all have posted good quarterly numbers.

We continue to look forward to your inputs. In the mean time enjoy this festival season.

We all wish for a great year ahead,

Happy Diwali,
Happy Investing!

Latest results on Screener: GRP, Astral, Welspun Syntex, Kakatiya Cement, Balkrishna, Mazda, Oriental, Atul Auto, Muthoot Capital, IFB Agro and Avanti Feeds

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  • Harish Matah

    Wish you all very happy and prosperous Diwali.Thanks for your valuable investing suggestions.

  • Vinod

    Happy Diwali to you too! Let the fireworks continue all throughout the year in all your stock picks 🙂

    Vinod M S

  • Kushal Dalal

    Happy and Prosperous Diwali to you and everybody who read this blog.
    Thanks for all your help support to all Value investing community.

    Kushal

  • Prabee

    Happy Diwali to all…..Let the light of knowledge shine bright by spread all across.

  • S Rathore

    happy Dipawali !!!!….. Keep up the good work. God bless!!

  • Hardtoget

    belated Diwali wishes to the entire Mittal family

  • Ayush

    Thanks everyone for the wishes. All the very best wishes to everyone.

  • Mallikarjun

    Hi Ayush

    Happy n Prosperous Deepawali to everyone:-).. Ayush eager to know your views on Sandesh ltd.. And does it has a moat..?
    Regards

    • Ayush

      Hi,

      Thanks and all the best wishes to you too. Sorry, don’t track Sandesh.

  • DeepakkumarPrasad

    Hi Ayush, any update on piccadilly agro. The company has delivered 2 continous good qtr results n fundamental ratios are also good but stock price is not moving up. Is there any bad news awaited. Did u guys get a chance to meet the management.

    • Ayush

      The nos are not good considering the performance the co had been doing earlier and hence the low price. If the co continues with the current performance, it may not be a good idea to hold on.

      We meet few cos/mgmt. Our main focus remains on fundamental analysis based on the results, annual reports etc.

  • DeepakkumarPrasad

    Do you track India gelatine. Is it better to have instead of nitta gelatine & narmada Gelatine ?

    • Ayush

      India Gelatine has been doing very well but we had picked Narmada as it has had better consistent past track record.

  • Naveen

    Hi Ayush,
    What is your view on Torrent Pharma. Can this be the next Divis or Wockhardt. Can we compare its facilities with these 2 companies. Or do you have a better pick than Torent Pharma.
    Regards
    Naveen

    • Ayush

      Hi Naveen,

      We don’t track torrent pharma that closely. We like Smruthi Organics & Shilpa Medicare in pharma….have a look at them and share your views.

  • DeepakkumarPrasad
  • Shankar

    Hi Ayush,

    What is the opportunity size for GRP? Isn’t Indag rubber better than GRP?

    Regards

    • Ayush

      Based on our research, the opportunity is quite big for GRP as compared to Indag. GRP aims to be a 1000 Cr turnover co in about 5-6 years.

  • Girish Deshpande

    Hi Ayush,

    Do you follow Wimplast? Any view at current price? Is PE of 8 high or low or reasonable for this stock?
    Regards,

    Girish

    • Ayush

      We do follow Wimplast and had made some positions recently and also mentioned about the same at our blog. But took a exit after a quick upmove.

      Its a good company and consistently doing quite well.

  • DeepakkumarPrasad

    Do you guys track butterfly gandhimathi appliances ?

    • Ayush

      No, we don’t

      • DeepakkumarPrasad

        Seems to be a good one . Has good business ion South india and is a partner for Indane gas agencies.

        • Nikhil

          maintain a hold on this.

  • Nikhil

    Hi ayush,
    Is this a good time to enter astral poly technic after the recent correction ?

    • Ayush

      Hi Nikhil,

      It really depends on ones investment horizon and individual understanding of the potential here. I think its an individual call.

  • DeepakkumarPrasad

    Have u guys disabled “create financial ratio” on screener.in

  • Raj.

    Hi Ayush, Can Welspun Syntex be bought at current levels, which was your earlier reco? Please advise. Thanks.

    • Ayush

      Yes, it looks good.

  • Niranjan

    Hi Ayush,

    Just came across your blog few days ago I must say its brilliant. even the audience and the questions asked here are so enriching. I am hooked on and have been reading a lot. Even the Screener tool is so awesome. I am a techie by profession with a keen interest in stock markets, and I love it when the website is so light to use.

    I have just one comment – it would be very beneficial if you include the dates in your posts so its easy to know that the post is new or how old exactly. The only way I could make out that now is when i see the comments and it says 6 hours ago / 8 months ago. Dates would help a lot in checking the relevance of the advice given here.

    Also I would really appreacite if you could cover Media Stocks. I am big believer in the media story for the long term, and I currently hold TV18, Network18 and DishTV. I intend to add more and would love your take on the value stocks in this sector and which has potential to grow.

    Regards,
    Niranjan Shetty
    London – UK

    • Hi Niranjan,

      Thanks a lottt for the kind words and the appreciation 🙂

      Nice idea about adding the relative dates. I have it just under the title of each post now.

      Best regards,
      Pratyush

      • Niranjan

        Hi Ayush / Pratyush

        Thanks for the Media link… and also incorporating my feedback! Love it! 🙂

        -Niranjan

    • Ayush

      Hi Niranjan,

      Thanks for the encouragement.

      We have been trying to understand the media stocks but the past track record has been very poor and its all about looking into the future. Here is a good thread for discussion on this area – http://www.valuepickr.com/forum/not-so-hidden-gems/394255372

      We have taken some exposure in TV Today to understand things.

      Regards,
      Ayush

  • Manish

    Hi Ayush,

    Request your views on Dion Global Services. Formerly known as Fortis Financials & is in the biz of software dev for financial sector. After making losses for past many years, the Co headed by Mr. Ralph since last 2 yrs has now got things under control and latest Qtr Sep 12 results indicate a turnaround.

    Appreciate your views on it.

    Manish…